2021 Draft Recap

The draft is over. Optimism and dread are high among the different fanbases. Some have hope, some are full of despair. Whilst everyone has an idea of how well each team drafted, it will take 3+ years to find out. So, with that in mind, I shall refrain from grading drafts. Instead, I shall delve into my two favourite draft classes and my 2 individual favourite picks (1st round excluding so no Rashawn Slater).

Detroit Lions

Has this franchise even looked so compelling? Run by the hit-new team of HC Dan Campbell and GM Brad Holmes, Detroit is looking on the up. They dedicated their draft to the on-brand style of players – kneecap biters. This Lions squad is going to be playing with one massive chip on their shoulder, they are going out every game to overpower their opponents and feel good about. This is the type of team that may be down 20 but will still be celebrating that hit that almost broke the ribs of the opponent. The Lions are scary.

Their first pick was Penei Sewell, one of the nastiest tackles in the draft. He will bully defensive lineman. He will dominate in the trenches, exactly where this Detroit team looks to win. He shouldn’t have fallen to 7, but he did. The Bengals loss is the Lions gain. Also, this pick gave us Brad Holmes’ response. Any player should want to go to the team with the GM that gets THAT excited about drafting you. This team is going places, it’s a new Lions team and it started with the pick of Sewell.

The Lions then added to the trenches on Day 2 but from the defensive side of the ball in Levi Onwuzurike and Alim McNeill. Onwuzurike will fit in Detriot immediately if his post-draft interview is anything to go by. McNeill is athletic for 320 pounds and with the 2 of them manning the D-line, likely alongside Trey Flowers in the 3-man front Dan Campbell has announced that will be run, Detroit is not just going to be stopping the run game; but also getting the QB on a regular occurrence.

Next, Holmes targeted players who fell. First in the CB from Syracuse in Ifeatu Melifonwu and then in WR Amon-Ra St Brown from USC. To get these players in the 3rd and 4th round respectively are steals. Melifonwu is a large corner at 6ft 2in and will perfectly complement Okudah who will man the opposite CB spot. Large and physical corners. St Brown (brother to Equanimeous St Brown) is a crisp route runner who gives Goff a reliable target. The offense has a chance at not being totally dire but it’s likely the offense is a project for next year’s draft.

The Lions rounded the draft out with LB Derrick Barnes (Purdue) and RB Jemar Jefferson (Oregon State). Barnes has been announced as the Mike backer for the Lions and he plays HARD. He will hit hard and come with a full head of steam. Jefferson is a productive runner who will find himself in a rotation with Swift in the backfield now Johnson has been cut. This Lions draft is full of bully-players. The Lions are getting ready to bully the rest of the NFL. This draft signals intent – now it’s just the execution.

New York Jets

As with any draft which starts with a QB, the success of the draft is dependent upon their play. Therefore, everything is realistically down to Zach Wilson. However, it wasn’t just Wilson who makes this draft special. Trading up for Alijah Vera-Tucker consolidates an O-Line that may be top-5 by the end of the season. This protects Wilson and will allow him time in the pocket to dissect the complicated NFL defences.

Following this, the Jets grabbed Elijah Moore early round 2. This was a great pick, especially considering many had him as a first round WR. His fall allowed the Jets to improve a receiving core which is now led on the outside by Denzel Mims and on the inside by Moore who can learn tricks of the trade from Jamison Crowder before taking his spot in the team. Wilson truly has this team built around him; it does mean he won’t get the same excuses that Sam Darnold was handed.

Day 3 started with Michael Carter for the Jets. A great player, a running back jitterbug who will likely find himself running lots of zone runs to the left side of the line or outside sweeps. He will have the monster of Mekhi Becton at LT with Vera-Tucker at LG. This means that the Jets have a new QB, an improved O-Line, a new RB and added to an impressive WR core. This offense looks ready to roll and their defence was already top-10.

Their other Day 3 steal was Hamsah Nasirildeen, S from Florida State. Nasirildeen has the versatility to also play down in the box, an off-ball linebacker. Robert Salah is going to enjoy moving this trustworthy tackler all around the Jets defense. Not bad for a day 3 pick. The Jets filled their major needs at the draft this year. If Wilson does pan out at QB, this could be looked back on as an all-time great draft class for the Jets.

Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (LB, Cleveland Browns)

There is no doubt that if it wasn’t for the heart issue of JOK, he would have left the board likely at or just after the Brown’s first pick. Instead, he slid to Round 2, pick 52. JOK is a hybrid. He can play LB, Slot or a box safety. He can cover of plug a hole to stop the run. JOK is likely the most versatile defensive player in the draft and to get him at 52 is ridiculous. The Browns now own a lethal front 7 that includes Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, Jordan Elliot and now also JOK.

Tyree Gillespie (S, Las Vegas Raiders)

A starting safety in Round 4 at pick 143 is ridiculous. Gillespie is the most physical safety in the draft and shattered both Jaylen Waddle and DeVonte Smith when he played Alabama. His coverage skills may not be the best but as the Raiders picked up Trevon Moehrig in the second, it’s doubtful that matters. Gillespie will be told to find ball – hit ball, make the offense pay. He can turn the momentum of a game in one play, he will increase the motor of those around him and can become the heart of this rebuilding Raiders defense. The best pick Gruden and Mayock have made in their Raiders tenure so far.

2021 First Round NFL Mock Draft

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB (Clemson)

The Jags gain the best prospect at the most important position in the game, simple.

2.New York Jets: Zach Wilson, QB (BYU)

They didn’t trade down and have traded Sam Darnold to the Panthers. As a result, the Jets select the next best QB with salivating upside.

3.San Francisco  49ers: Justin Fields, QB (Georgia)

After flirting with Trey Lance and Mac Jones, the 49ers select the mobile QB of Fields. Once his pocket awareness and read progression improve, he has the potential to be the best QB in the class, especially with Kyle Shanahan as his new head coach. Jimmy Garoppolo will likely remain for a year or be traded, maybe to Washington?

4.TRADE – Denver Broncos: Trey Lance, QB (North Dakota State)

The Broncos give up a 2022 1st next year to fend off other offers sent to the Falcons to move up from 9th to make the 2021 draft the first to have only QBs selected in the firth 4 picks. Lance is raw but can battle with Drew Lock to start, if the Broncos don’t feel secure with Lance in year 1, they don’t have to move off Lock just yet.

5.Cincinnati Bengals: Penei Sewell, OT (Oregon)

The first non-QB selected. The Bengals shake off the idea of drafting Ja’Marr Chase and instead elect to protect Joe Burrow. The Bengals are a sleeper candidate to trade down, the Cowboys may move up to grab Kyle Pitts if Jerry Jones is as “infatuated” with him as reported.

6.Miami Dolphins: Ja’Marr Chase, WR (LSU)

The Dolphins collect first round picks from the 49ers in the earlier trade and still end up with one of the best WR prospects to ever enter the draft. Tua has potential but needs help, landing Chase is a great way to start.

7.Detroit Lions: Kyle Pitts, TE (Florida)

With Hockenson playing the typical TE spot in Detroit, they draft Pitts to create the best TE duo in the league. They can line Pitts up anywhere to create mismatches and any coverage he draws will only help Hockenson, and then of course Jared Goff. Pitts is not a bad pickup after the Lions’ top target of Chase is off the board. Kellen Mond could be an early round 2 selection for them, someone to learn from then challenge Goff.

8.Carolina Panthers: Rashawn Slater, OT (Northwestern)

After acquiring Darnold from the Jets, the Panthers look to protect their new QB. Slater can play all 5 O-Line positions will help the Panthers considering they need help at almost all of them. Waddle would be the alternative if the Panthers want to make a splash by drafting a weapon.

9.(From Denver) Atlanta Falcons: Patrick Surtain II, CB (Alabama)

The Falcons draft the first defensive player in the draft, what made the Broncos trade so alluring was they still ended ahead of the defense-needy Cowboys. They land the best physical corner and can help stop the ever-bleeding defense. Expect a WR in round 2 (such as Rashod Bateman) or round 3 (such as Amari Rodgers).

10.Dallas Cowboys: Jaycee Horn, CB (South Carolina)

With Surtain II gone, the Cowboys fall back to the 2nd best physical corner in Horn. Horn has a good chance of being even better than Surtain so it isn’t a massive loss for the Cowboys. They desperately need to improve their secondary.

11.New York Giants: Micah Parsons, LB (Penn State)

Parsons is an athletic freak who could mould into an all-time great, he just needs the right coaching. The Giants like their chances and after an impressive defensive showing last year, the Giants improve to become true threat.

12.Philidelphia Eagles: DeVonte Smith, WR (Alabama)

The Eagles get another field stretcher in Smith. The Heisman winner is a threat from anywhere on the field and instantly upgrades an underwhelming receiving core.

13.Los Angeles Chargers: Caleb Farley, CB (Virginia Tech)

If not for injury, Farley would likely be the top CB in the draft. The Chargers take their chances after the top tackles are off the board. Farley received good news from the doctors, he should be ready for the coming season. This could be a steal for the Chargers.

14.Minnesota Vikings: Kwity Paye, Edge (Michigan)

The Vikings need to draft rushers here. Ngokoue didn’t work out and it’s possible Hunter is on his way out of town very soon. To replace the lost pass rush, the look to Kwity Paye, a disrupter who continuously affects to timing of an offense off the edge.

15.New England Patriots: Mac Jones, QB (Alabama)

Jones falls to the Patriots without them needing to trade up. His methodical play style will suit the Patriots’ system. He has more mobility than he’s credited for, certainly inside the pocket. Belichick will have all the inside information on him due to Jones being coached by Belichick’s friend and former colleague Nick Saban.

16.TRADE – Washington Football Team: Jaylen Waddle, WR (Alabama)

Washington sends a 3rd to Arizona to trade up to get the top WR left. Waddle is a great route runner with better size than Smith. He will create an incredibly talented receiving group alongside Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel. Fitzpatrick is going to have fun next season.#

17.Las Vegas Raiders: Jayson Oweh, Edge (Penn State)

The Raiders have always loved raw, talented prospects who have high athletic upsides and Oweh is just that. He has an electric first step and has a high-pressure rate despite not registering a sack last year. With Maxx Crosby on the other side, the Raiders pass rush will immediately become top 10 in the league; even if Oweh may be considered a bit of a boom or bust prospect.

18.Miami Dolphins: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OG (USC)

After getting Tua help at skill position with Chase, the Dolphins now look to help him by keeping him upright. They select one of the most mobile O-lineman in the draft in Vera-Tucker. He can play tackle if needed and with the Dolphins rolling with a Patriots inspired philosophy under former Patriots coach Brian Flores, versatility is a highly valued talent.

19.(From Washington) Arizona Cardinals: Jalean Phillips, Edge (Miami)

After acquiring an extra 3rd round pick from Washington, the Cardinals are in a position to go best player available. They select Phillips to learn behind JJ Watt and Chandler Jones and to create a spark in the rotation. The Cardinals are a solid team who could really pick anyone at this stage of the draft.

20.Chicago Bears: Teven Jenkins, OT (Oklahoma State)

Bears ideally need a QB but the top 5 are long gone and so they elect to round out the rest of the roster. Here they go with Jenkins. A nasty tackle who punishes defenders. He will be able to create gaps in the run game, essential for team that is perennially subpar in the passing game.

21.Indianapolis Colts: Gregory Rousseau, Edge (Miami)

The Colts need an edge threat to help Buckner inside and Rousseau can provide it. A prospect on the upswing, Rousseau will get better and better and he might be the piece that can push the Colts from a playoff contender, to a title contender.

22.Tennessee Titans: Rashod Bateman, WR (Minnesota)

After collecting AJ Brown in the 2019 draft, the Titans take another talented receiver here. Bateman is large at 6ft 2in 210lbs and creates a great one-two with Brown. By continuing to support Tannehill, the Titans keep enough pressure through the air in order to force the opposing defense to not stack the box, allowing Derrick Henry to continue to run wild.

23.New York Jets: Elijah Moore, WR (Ole Miss)

The Jets want Wilson’s rookie NFL season to be as comfortable as possible. They grab Moore to complement Denzel Mims, who’s entering his second season and Corey Davis who has just signed from the Titans.

24.Pittsburgh Steelers: Greg Newsome, CB (Northwestern)

Tall, lean and fast. Newsome is the perfect corner. He is young at 20 and won’t be at his best immediately but after a season or two he may blossom into a star. The Steelers need corners. Their front 7 is top 3 in the league and there are no QBs left to draft this high for a future replacement of Roethlisberger. They draft Newsome to make their defense seemingly impenetrable.

25.Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevon Moehrig, S (TCU)

The Jags desperately need to upgrade their safeties and Moehrig does this. He has outstanding coverage skills and is versatile and smooth. He’s a great pick up for the Jags.

26.Cleveland Browns – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB (Notre Dame)

The Browns need help at LB and JOK is severely underrated. Due to other teams’ needs, he could end up with a slight fall and the Browns will reap the rewards. JOK can play almost anywhere. His singular downside is he is slightly undersized. Otherwise, he is a great player and a brilliant pick up this late in the draft.

27.Baltimore Ravens – Azeez Ojulari, Edge (Georgia)

Ravens were at their best with a feared defense and they look to return to that here by drafted a very skilled edge. Ojulari is a high effort performer who won’t stop on a play. He is great at setting against the run as well which is vital in the AFC North.

28.New Orleans Saints – Terrance Marshall, WR (LSU)

Yet another WR. This time, it’s Chase’s partner in crime in Marshall. Marshall could become a red-zone magnet with his play. Allowing Hill or Winston (whoever starts for the Saints) a large reliable target who also takes some pressure off of Michael Thomas.

29.Green Bay Packers – Jamin Davis, LB (Kentucky)

Davis is fast and can read the game at an elite level. He is almost always where he needs to be. He may be the piece that finally pulls this talented Packers defense into an elite unit. Davis has been rocketing up draft boards over the last few months and he lands in a great spot with the Packers.

30.Buffalo Bills – Christian Barmore, DT (Alabama)

The Bills need to stop explosive runs and they look to solve that issue with Barmore. He creates havoc in the middle of the line, whether that’s stopping RBs or applying interior pressure to the QB. The Superbowl showed how important pressuring a QB is and with the Bills so close to making it to the game themselves last year, Barmore could be the final piece.

31.Kansas City Chiefs – Christian Darrisaw, OT (Virginaia Tech)

Speaking of pressure in the Superbowl. The Chiefs have to protect Mahomes, they cut their starting tackles from last year in Fisher and Schwartz. Despite signing Joe Thuney, they still need help, especially at the tackle spot. They take Darrisaw as he’s the best left. He is agile which will help when Mahomes starts running around behind him.

32.Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Carlos Basham Jr, Edge (Wake Forest)

An all-effort rusher in Basham rounds out the first round. The Bucs look to further improve in the area which won them the Superbowl last year, pressure. Basham will be able to sit in rotation for a season or two before becoming a full-time starter. He is able to create a spark that can change the momentum of a team.

Belichick Goes Shopping

It is often understood that the New England Patriots do not spend big in free agency. When they do, it’s on a proven game changer that becomes an anchor of the team (see Stephon Gilmore). Instead, the Patriots prefer to hold tight, wait for all the other teams to outbid each other for the available talent, overpaying for unproven players and then signing proven veterans to small contracts who fill a specific role in the Patriots roster. These veterans not only help the team through their own play but can also mentor the young rookies drafted by the Patriots (usually on day 3). Then after all of this, the Patriots find hidden gems in the draft and rejuvenate the careers of previously seen as washed-up veterans. Then came 2021.

First, context shall be provided. Tom Brady, the franchise QB, 6x Superbowl winner and Greatest Player of All Time left for the sunny beaches of Tampa Bay. The Patriots were left with small cap room left to re-load this team. It’s very possible that Belichick could have signed Brady but the deal was not made and the team suddenly seemed underwhelming. A still-strong defence was opposed by a dismal offense. Bargain signing QB Cam Newton originally seemed positive through the first 3 weeks before contracting Covid and never looking like himself, including decline in arm strength and mental processing. The receivers were severely under NFL average (one reason why Brady may have wanted to leave) and no help was coming out of the tight end position. After a 7-9 season, their first losing season since 2002, the Patriots then found themselves with the third most cap space in the league and a declining cap which saw multiple teams already over cap, keeping potential competition low in bidding wars. Whilst everyone was laughing at Belichick after seeing Brady leave and win another Superbowl, this time in Tampa, Belichick was planning beyond the 2020 season. He simply didn’t have a chance to win in 2020. Now 2021 is here.

The largest holes on the roster were on offense, specifically QB, TE and WR. Re-enforcing the O-Line was also a need. On defence, interior D-lineman to stop the run and reinforcements to the linebacking core would be nice. Belichick signed TE Jonnu Smith to a 4-year $50 million contract. Smith is a run-after-catch (RAC) freak. Belichick described him last year (whilst Smith was still a Titan) as the best TE at RAC in the league. Belichick then decided to sign the consensus top free agent TE on the market in Hunter Henry to a 3-year £37.5 million contract. Now the Patriots have gone from the worst TE group in the NFL to maybe the best. Belichick has always had an affinity for the 12 personnel package. As seen when having Ben Watson and Daniel Graham before replacing them with Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski more recently. TE is now solved.

Next up is WR. Belichick hasn’t swung for the big-names (not yet anyway) in signing Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne. Agholor may seem an overpay at 2 years $26 million but it’s a short-term candidate for a WR that might just boom. If Agholor keeps his form from the Raiders, the Patriots have just signed one of the best deep-ball threats in the league, the role that was left unfilled last year. The risk is if Agholor returns to his Philadelphia form when he led the league in drops. Bourne’s 3-year $22.5 million contract is more conservative, he can serve as primary backup to Julian Edelman or even take the spot if Edelman is past his best (will be 35 next season). Whilst the Patriots don’t have a NO.1 receiver, they do have depth. That top receiver could be found in free agency (Kenny Golladay) or in the draft (Rashod Bateman seems reasonable for where the Pats are picking).

Belichick traded for RT Trent Brown and a 7th round pick for only a 5th rounder. When healthy, he may be the best RT in the league and is a former Patriot. Brown is also on a reasonable contract (1 year $11 million). This allows the Patriots to cover for the loss of Joe Thuney to the Chiefs. The O-Line next year will likely look like:

LT Isaiah Wynn

LG Michael Onwenu

C David Andrews (currently a free agent, believed to either re-sign with Patriots or head down to Miami)

RG Shaq Mason

RT Trent Brown

If Andrews does re-sign, this is easily a top 5 unit in the league. And this was for the price to move back 2 rounds on day 3 of the draft and the Patriots don’t have to pay $16 million a year for the services of Joe Thuney, which the Kansas City Chiefs now have to.

To turn to the defensive side of the ball, the Belichick signed Davon Godchaux for a small 2-year $16 million contract to stop do what the Patriots couldn’t do in 2020, stop the run at the line of scrimmage. This signing along with the Henry Anderson signing instantly improves the Pats D-Line which has been underwhelming in past seasons. Anderson isn’t going to light the league on fire but is a veteran who likely will grab a few sacks and fit into a rotation.

Then comes the largest splash in signing linebacker Matthew Judon. The ex-Raven didn’t have his greatest season last year but before that, he was a force. 9.5 sacks in 2019 and 4 forced fumbles. He will instantly replace Kyle Van Noy who also left before 2020. He will fill the void that the Patriots have long had success at from Ninkovich to Van Noy and now Judon. To those who point that Judon is not a game-wrecker on his own, he will be on a defence featuring workaholic Chase Winovich, the returning Donta Hightower and exciting 2nd year player Josh Uche. This will be a front 7 working by committee. Expect multiple Patriots to have between 5 and 10 sacks rather than 1 or 2 players at 10+ and the rest under 3. 4-years $56 million is not an overpay for Judon who re-enforces this already strong Patriot defence.

The last question is at QB. This is where all the signings make sense. The common criticism of the Patriots’ free agency is they are spending big on good but not great players. However, after signing a 1-year extension for QB Cam Newton, the Pats have a veteran QB next year. A veteran QB who can mentor and test a rookie. All singings were at a point of need for the Patriots, none (maybe outside of Jalen Mills) are at positions of want. This allows the Patriots to go all in on the draft. Their roster outside of a NO.1 WR and a QB past the coming season is looking quite full now. No contact exceeds 4 years, the length of a rookie contract (excluding the 1st round option to make it 5 years). This allows the Patriots to overpay for players outside the QB position for the next 4 to 5 years. This was utilized by both the Eagles and Rams in recent years surrounding Carson Wentz and Jarred Goff respectively. This along with the long history of Belichick finding undervalued players points to the Patriots having and executing a plan. I am now convinced the Patriots will move up in this year’s draft into the top 5 for a QB. They could offer their 3rd rounders this year and a 1st next year to move from 15 to 3 or 4 depending on who is more willing out of the Dolphins and Falcons to trade. That should leave them with a choice of Justin Fields, Mac Jones or Trey Lance (after Lawrence and Wilson go 1 and 2). The rookie QB will then be able to learn behind Newton for up to a year before taking the reins. If they can escape the trade with their 2nd rounder this year, there will still be multiple top quality WRs in a loaded draft class. It looks as if Belichick is playing for 2022 challenge at the Superbowl. The rest of the NFL better watch out.

2021 Draft Rankings BY-Position

These are my by-position for the 2021 NFL draft. Top 3 of each position (and top 5 for QBs because of the depth of the class and the positional value). Some players are polar-opposites and would only fit on different teams (interior O-Lineman Vera-Tucker and Davis spring to mind) so the rankings are purely personal preference of type rather than the player.

QBs:

  1. Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
  2. Zach Wilson (BYU)
  3. Mac Jones (Alabama)
  4. Trey Lance (North Dakota State)
  5. Justin Fields (Ohio State)

Lawrence is a standout prospect with great accuracy and better decision making than most college prospects. Wilson has incredible arm strength and is gifted at off-script plays. Jones has the brain to overcome his lack of mobility, Brady and Rivers have played in the league the last few years, whilst the move has been to mobile QBs, thinking it’s a “must” is a step too far. Lance is unproven but high upside and Fields needs to stop holding onto the ball forever. One of the best QB classes in recent memory, Fields is still a top 10 prospect and he’s QB5!

RBs:

  1. Travis Etienne (Clemson)
  2. Javonte Williams (North Carolina)
  3. Najee Harris (Alabama)

Etienne is a day 1 starter with great agility. Williams has made highlight plays behind a sub-par O-Line, he will explode if his future team has a great O-Line. He’s definitely under the radar. Harris is the best true power back in the class.

WRs:

  1. Ja’Marr Chase (LSU)
  2. Jaylen Waddle (Alabama)
  3. Rashod Bateman (Minnesota)

Special Shoutout: Amari Rodgers (Clemson)

Chase is unbelievable, would have been the top WR for all recent draft classes. His catch radius/ability is otherworldly and is physical enough to dominate corners. Waddle is slick in route running and explosive. Bateman follows in those footsteps who is just slightly behind Waddle in route running but is larger and can use that to his advantage. Rodgers is a coach’s son and it shows. He may be the smartest receiver in the draft, he’ll be day 1 plug and play and surprise the team that picks him likely late day 2 of the draft. This class is stacked, Heisman winner Devonta Smith is incredibly athletic, just a little small. Kadarious Toney is the definition of electric, just worry about how many extreme cuts he can make before injury. There are many, many other as well. This draft class is WR heavy, day 2 and even early day 3 picks have a chance at being starters.

TEs:

  1. Kyle Pitts (Florida)
  2. Pat Freiermuth (Penn State)
  3. Tommy Tremble (Notre Dame)

Kyle Pitts is the best TE prospect in memory. He is projecting to dominate at the next level on any team. He could be the first TE to be drafted in the top 5 since Riley Odoms in 1972. Freiermuth is tough and will be a the typical modern TE. Mobile with a good catch radius, he will be a solid player. Tremble is an incredible run-blocker and will never get run away from contact, he will make a defence hurt even if he isn’t the quickest/biggest.

Offensive Tackles:

  1. Rashawn Slater (Northwestern)
  2. Penei Sewell (Oregon)
  3. Christian Darrisaw (Virginia Tech)

Slater can play any of the 5 O-line positions. He is solid, and that is the largest compliment for an O-Lineman. Sewell is great, strong, physical and reads the ends well. He has the odd issue with footwork, otherwise a top prospect. Darrisaw is mobile and has shown technical improvement over his years at Virginia Tech, he needs to add more strength to be dominant.

Interior O-Line:

  1. Alijah Vera-Tucker (USC)
  2. Wyatt Davis (Ohio State)
  3. Creed Humphrey (Oklahoma)

Vera-Tucker is perfect for zone blocking schemes, getting out in space and running up field to the second level. Davis is never letting go once he gets a hold. He will have pancake after pancake in the next level, just lacks mobility. Vera-Tucker and Davis are total opposites, it’s not really one is better than the other, more a team needs to pick their “type”. Humphrey’s hands and technique are brilliant and he displayed that at the Senior Bowl.

Interior D-Line:

  1. Christian Barmore (Alabama)
  2. Levi Onwuzurike (Washington)
  3. Tyler Shelvin (LSU)

Barmore is a 3-Technique who is adapt at exploding up field to create interior pressure. He is by far the leader in this class. Onwuzurike is leadin the class in the pure mobility department. He’s quick and explosive but can struggle slightly against the run. Shelvin, on the other hand, is a brick wall. He may not pressure the QB but put him on the interior and RBs aren’t gaining yards.

Edge Defenders:

  1. Jayson Oweh (Penn State)
  2. Kwity Paye (Michigan)
  3. Carlos Basham Jr (Wake Forest)

Oweh is a freak. He may not have recorded a sack last season but he still had a high-pressure rate. Every now and again, a prospect comes along where the upside is too enticing to not take the, this is that prospect this year. Oweh is the kind of prospect I would expect the Raiders to take a swing at. Paye is athletic and has been destructive when running twists. Basham Jr lit up the senior bowl. He has a never-say-die attitude and has the ability to ignite a defence.

Linebackers:

  1. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (Notre Dame)
  2. Micah Parsons (Penn State)
  3. Jamin Davis (Kentucky)

JOK is extremely versatile. He is a strong tackler who reads the game better than any other college linebacker. Parsons is a physical freak who transferred from edge. He might need a season to get to grips with the NFL, expect an Isaiah Simmons like rookie year from Parsons before a potential year 2 explosion. Davis is quick and can sift through traffic, he has great instincts, just needs the right coach to fully reach his potential.

CBs:

  1. Caleb Fairley (Virginia Tech)
  2. Patrick Surtain (Alabama)
  3. Jaycee Horn (South Carolina)

Fairley is fast, like really FAST. He can make up for mistakes with his speed which will pay off in his rookie year. Fairley has the potential to be a lockdown corner. Surtain is physical and looks to bully receivers. Some WRs will look to exploit his slight lack of speed but we have seen multiple corners thrive with subpar speed (Richard Sherman). Horn is the son of former WR Joe Horn. He has size and length and great hands. He just needs to tackle better.

Safeties:

  1. Tyree Gillespie (Missouri)
  2. Jamar Johnson (Indiana)
  3. Trevon Moehrig (TCU)

Gillespie is a hitter. He will shake any receiver that dares to wonder into the middle of the field. He can change the momentum of a game in one play. Johnson is ridiculously underrated. He is expected to go day 3 yet he is already playing like NFL safeties. He is tricking QBs pre-play and he doesn’t miss tackles. He is fast enough to play as well. He should be an early 2nd not a Day 3 pick. Moehrig will instantly improve the pass defense even if he struggles to tackle or be in run support, another player that projects to excel in certain situations.

Case Study: How To Ruin A Team In 4 Easy Steps. Featuring The Houston Texans

In order to ruin a team, one must first have a team with promise to ruin. Indeed, the Texans had just that. For the first time in their short history (shorter than Tom Brady’s NFL career), the Texans were looking promising and then it all went downhill – fast.

The Houston Texans were founded in 1999 and played their first competitive game on the 8th September 2002 against the Dallas Cowboys. After selecting David Carr 1st overall, the Texans also had their QB. But after years of neglecting the O-Line leaving Carr skittish and a subpar defence giving up points, the Texans never materialised into a true contender. However, over the last few years they improved. A defence consisting of franchise great JJ Watt and linebackers Zach Cunningham and Benardrick McKinney. An offense which included one of the best receivers in the league (if not THE best) in DeAndre Hopkins as well as promising superstar at the most important position – QB Deshaun Watson. They had traded many draft picks away for LT Laremy Tunsil but with Tunsil playing great football (except from the false starts), it could be argued it was worth it. The Texans had truly entered their first Superbowl window. In 2018 and 2019, they had won the AFC South back-to-back and were leading the favoured Kansas City Chiefs 24-0 in the AFC Divisional round and then it all went wrong …

Step One: Blow A Big Game That Stays With The Franchise For A Long Time

Other recent examples of this include Superbowl 51 for the Atlanta Falcons or any time the Saints make the playoffs recently (even if their losses weren’t all their fault). In this case the Texans were facing of against the Chiefs, eventual Superbowl Champions but that was not looking likely after the Texans had pulled out a 24-0 lead in just the 2nd quarter. It seemed as if this was the first playoff matchup between two future great QBs in the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes and the Texans’ Deshaun Watson and Watson had the upper hand. But 2 key coaching decision changed the course of the game. Firstly, electing to kick the field goal to take the lead to 24 points instead of going for it on a 4th and short with the chance to make the lead 28. Then, after sending out the punt team in their own territory, the Texans faked the punt and ran for the 1st down. Dan Sorensen tackled Justin Reid short and the lead quickly dwindles to 10 points (24-14). The rest of the match was a bloodbath. The Chiefs emerged victors on their way to their 1st Superbowl title in 50 years and the Texans went home for the offseason. A loss like this lingers in the locker room, whether through decreased confidence, or just a basic sports curse, teams rarely recover and are set for years of tragedy (just ask the Saints).

Step 2: Hire An “Interesting” Front Office

Everyone has probably heard of Jack Easterby by now. He shot to fame after the firing of Bill O’Brien as O’Brien was no longer a possible candidate to consistently blame as he was no longer with the team. Jack Easterby was previously a character coach with the New England Patriots who have been the dominant team since the turning of the century. But it seems even Bill Belichick, the Patriots renowned Head Coach does not see Easterby as fit for his current position. Belichick said “Jack’s not a personnel person, no”. This has been displayed with the Texans’ moves. Since Easterby has become the de facto General Manager the Texans personnel moves have been, well, interesting. And this co-insides with step 3.

Step 3: Have Your Coach And GM Trade, Trade and Trade Some More – And Get Worse.

This starts with an issue that every team has faced. You have a QB but no O-Line. Watson was getting sacked at a ridiculous pace (62 times in 2018) and so the Texans gave up a fortune for LT Laremy Tunsil. Tunsil has continued his stellar play over the last 2 season but Watson was still sacked 49 times. Consider as well that Watson is playing better himself, getting the ball out faster which will also leads to fewer sacks. The Texans gave up 2 1st round picks (2020 and 2021) and a 2021 2nd round pick in exchange for the services of Tunsil and WR Kenny Stills. Stills has also been useful, a deep threat who can play from the slot who stretches the field for other targets such as Will Fuller (deep threat) and Brandin Cooks (deep threat), so not much variety. They also traded for Tunsil in his contract year. Meaning if they didn’t resign him, they gave up 2 1st and a 2nd for less than a season of good LT play. Therefore, Tunsil could essentially ask for as much money as he wanted, he wanted $66 million over 3 years with $50 million guaranteed. Tunsil is now the highest paid O-Lineman in the history of the NFL. Yes, LT is an important decision but not at $22 million per year (well, not yet anyway with the ever-increasing cap, not including this year). Then we get to the real gem.

The Houston Texans traded DeAndre Hopkins for a 2nd round pick and RB David Johnson. Not the 2016 Johnson, but the post injury Johnson, who plays what might be the least valued NFL position. The reason for trading Hopkins was he wanted too much money and had differences with the coaching staff and front office. The money that was essentially gifted to Tunsil, could have been used to help keep Hopkins happy, a true game changer who put up elite numbers with 9 different QBs before Watson. Between them they racked up victories leading Houston to the matchup previously discussed against the Chiefs. Watson was happy, Hopkins was happy and the defence was relieved to not have to carry the team as in past years. But Easterby and O’Brien traded Hopkins to Arizona (where he has since continued to thrive). To replace Hopkins, the Texans bought in Brandin Cooks for a 2020 2nd round pick. Not only is that another pick traded away (the same value as they got for Hopkins) but Cooks is also on a mega-deal which pretty much destroys the narrative of getting rid of Hopkins to save money. Cooks also is not as good as Hopkins, that is no slight at Cooks but rather a testament to Hopkins’ talent which is truly extraordinary.

Entering 2020, expectations were mixed for the Texans and they not only missed them but to an embarrassing amount. They went 4-12 despite Watson putting up numbers and performances which could lead to MVP votes in other years. This is a team that lost 12 games despite elite QB play. They did this whilst trading away their future in picks and floundering in cap hell. Franchise hero JJ Watt even apologised to Watson for the team wasting a career year – not that it was in any way JJ’s fault and I hope he gets traded to a contender and wins a ring he has deserved for so long. This all brings us to the final step.

Step 4: Annoy Your Franchise QB At Every; EVERY SINGLE TURN.

First trading away his favourite weapon, spending away cap space to replace those weapons, then waste one of his career years by going 4-12 and then promise him the chance to hire the coach he wants before ignoring that promise. Watson is a sane person. He wants to stick with the team that drafted him. He stuck around after Hopkins was traded, after they traded their future, after cap hell but it seems it was the mistrust and even disrespect that may be the final straw. After O’Brien was fired, the Texans reportedly promised Watson that he could help find the next Head Coach. Watson wants Eric Bienemy, Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Coordinator. The Texans are in such a mess that Bienemy made it clear he had no interest in the job, despite the allure of coaching Watson. The New York Jets also landed Robert Salah, another Coach Watson was interested in. The Texans hired Nick Caserio for GM role, not consulting Watson, then hired David Culley as their new head coach. All opinions on Culley aside, the Texans did not live up to the promise they gave their franchise star QB and so Watson has officially asked for a trade from the Texans. At this point, with a mostly new regime (only Jack Easterby and owner Cal McNair remain from the previous regime), it would be expected that they do right be Watson trade him to a team he wants to play for (Jets or Dolphins are his apparent favourites) and look forward to rebuild this mess. Not so fast.

Instead, the Texans new GM Nick Caserio has reported the Texans are not interested in trading Watson and look forward to working with him for years to come. Just brilliant. To add to this, coverage suggests that this may be more than just smoke and that Caserio and Culley will try to persuade Watson to stay. If they do it, they deserve a medal and hopefully it would work out, but I don’t see that happening. Watson needs to be traded and they might be able to recoup picks that they had previously traded (most potential offers START with 3 1st round picks).

No team has collapsed from contender to a mess of this size so quickly. It’s a stain in the Texans’ short history and has caused many of their fanbase pledging allegiance to Watson or JJ Watt and their (potential) future teams instead of the Texans. It’s a mess, blown games, bad cap management, worse personnel management and disrespect to franchise stars. Hopefully this is turned around just as quickly and there are people within the organization capable of that but we’ll just have to wait and see.

NFL Awards 2020/21

Let’s take a look at who should win on NFL award nights.

Defensive Rookie Of The Year: Chase Young (DE – WFT)

Young has lived up to his NO.2 overall pick. He’s racked up 7.5 sacks and accomplished the 6th highest PFF grade out of ALL edge rushers in the league (87.2). Young has followed recent rookie explosions from Myles Garrett and Nick Bosa. It may not be the sexy pick but sometimes these highly drafted rookies are the best – he just needs to learn to not poke the bear, especially when that bear is Tom Brady.

Runners Up: Jeremy Chinn (LB/FS – CAR), Kamren Curl (S – WFT)

Offensive Rookie Of The Year: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN)

Eagles fans won’t be happy for years. They took Jalen Reagor (who still may be good) over Justin Jefferson. Jefferson has had a rookie season for the record books. He first beat Randy Moss for most reception yards by a Vikings rookie before one-upping that by taking the league record for a rookie. This beats Anquan Boldin’s 1,377yds in 2004 (Jefferson had 1,400). This is ahead of all receivers throughout league history. Beating Jerry Rice, Calvin Johnson and Odell Beckham Jr. This wasn’t erratic performances, instead it was a continued effort with seven 100yd games. Jefferson has replaced Stephon Diggs (who led the league in receiving yards, 1535yds) and may well be the steal of the draft, despite being as high as the 22nd pick (although he was the 5th WR taken).

Runners Up: Justin Herbert (QB – LAC), Antonio Gibson (RB – WFT)

Defensive Player Of The Year: Aaron Donald (DL – LAR)

This may be a boring pick but it’s the right pick. Simply, Donald is outstanding. He’s more athletic than any interior D-lineman and stronger than any edge rushers. He can take on double teams and win consistently. Despite being the only elite pass-rush threat on the Rams, he still accumulated 13.5 sacks on the season. To accompany this there’s also 4 forced fumbles and 27 QB hits – he applies constant pressure and is the best defensive player in the league and that’s pretty much inarguable. He’s now only 14.5 sacks from 100, next year will be a BIG year for Donald

Runners Up: Xavien Howard (CB – MIA), TJ Watt (OLB – PIT)

Offensive Player Of The Year: Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)

Only the 8th player (and second Titan) to run for over 2000yds in a single season (2,027). That includes two single-handed demolitions of the Houston Texans which squeezed his teams into the playoffs. Henry has the best stiff-arm in league history and has more than once shrugged off defenders causing them to lose all dignity. Watching Henry is truly exciting, any run could go for the house (17 times in 2020). He was the best non-QB in the league this year and it wasn’t really close.

Runners Up: Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC), Josh Allen (QB – BUF)

Coach Of The Year: Kevin Stefanski (CLE)

He’s the coach that did it, overcame the largest challenge known to man – get the Cleveland Browns to the playoffs and look a legitimate title contender. For his first head coach season, that’s ridiculous. Mayfield has been turned into a good QB, the running game is still ridiculously good with Chubb and Hunt. The defence can be suffocating with Ward looking down WRs and a pass-rush of Garrett and Vernon. All of this came alive the moment Mr Stefanski wandered into Cleveland. One hopes that he can overcome Covid and the Browns can win on Wild Card weekend without their head coach, but no matter the outcome, what Stefanski has done this year is pretty mind-blowing, maybe more mind-blowing than Sean McVay’s first year?

Runners Up: Sean McDermott (BUF), Matt LaFleur (GB)

Comeback Player Of The Year: Alex Smith (QB – WFT)

The most well-deserved award to maybe ever be given in the NFL – the award may be renamed after him. It cannot be understated how ridiculous it is that Smith is playing football. Two years ago, he could have lost his leg, even his life. He was told it’s likely he’d never walk again, told playing again was a ludicrous thought. Instead, he’s just led the Washington Football Team to their first NFC East Division Title since 2015 (their lowly 7-9 record is irrelevant to the point). He may not be as athletic than he was and his play level has dropped, but it still led a team to the playoffs and this week he faces the greatest QB of all time in Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, will this underdog story continue?

Runners Up: Nobody comes close to Smith – sorry.

Most Valuable Player: Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)

The best player this season, he outduelled Mahomes to the end. The 37-year-old should win his 3rd MVP (Pat McAfee has already crowned him so he better win now). Over 70% completion percentage, over 4000yds passing and 48TDs : 5INTs. He only had one terrible game (against Tampa Bay) and otherwise developed the best QB-WR connection with Davante Adams and helped TE Robert Tonyan have a breakout season. Rodgers has his eyes set on the Superbowl – as he should but he’ll pick up the MVP award on his way.

Runners UP: Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC), Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)

Playoff Predictions

AFC Wild Card

Colts (7) 17 @ Bills (2) 38

Browns (6) 24 @ Steelers (3) 21

Ravens (5) 31@ Titans (4) 35

NFC Wild Card

Bears (7) 14 @ Saints (2) 24

Rams (6) 12 @ Seahawks (3) 21

Bucs (5) 24 @ Football Team (4) 17

AFC Divisional

Browns (6) 28 @ Chiefs (1) 31

Titans (4) 27 @ Bills (2) 41

NFC Divisional

Bucs (5) 27 @ Packers (1) 31

Seahawks (3) 24 @ Saints (2) 17

AFC/NFC Conference Championships

Bills (2) 35 @ Chiefs (1) 34

Seahawks (3) 20 @ Packers (1) 31

Superbowl

Bills (AFC) 28 @ Packers (NFC) 38

The Future Of The NFL Is In The East

It would be mad for someone to say that the two divisions that will be running the NFL in 3 years’ time will be the AFC and NFC East. They are currently 48-62-1 this year heading into Week 17. The AFC East consists of the Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots and the lowly New York Jets. The NFC East (known as the “NFC Least”) is filled by the Washington Football Team, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles. Only one of these teams, the Bills, are seen as a Superbowl challenger this year, yet I believe that at bear minimum 6 of these teams (not the Cowboys or Eagles) will be fighting for playoff spots and being legitimate Superbowl contenders heading into Superbowl 57 and 58. Let’s take a look at each of the individual teams that I believe have Superbowl aspirations within 3 years and their personal outlook.

(All statistics correct as of 27/12/2020)

AFC East

Buffalo Bills:

The best team out of the 8 currently. They made a jump to true Superbowl contender a year earlier than my prediction. Sean McDermott has been a yearly coach of the year candidate and Brandon Beane has consistently been one of the best GMs in the league. Ever since their hiring in 2017 (McDermott in January and Beane in May), the Bills trajectory has been directly upwards, causing multiple tables to be smashed by the ever-loyal Bills Mafia. Josh Allen has been a fringe MVP candidate throwing to a true NO.1 receiver in Stephon Diggs (what a trade that was for both teams!) and a revitalised Cole Beasley. Dawson Know is capable of big plays from the TE position. Diggs is closing in on 1500yds and sits 3rd in the league in receiving yards – only 4 yards behind Travis Kelce (1318yds) and a game in hand on DeAndre Hopkins (1372yds). Beasley is only 50 yards off his first 1000yds career, obliterating the middle of the field. The running game hasn’t been as successful as hoped with no running back reaching over 644yds so far (Devin Singletary) but with so few holes to fill and RBs being a consistently deep position on draft day – I doubt that issue lasts much longer. However, it may not be Moss nor Singletary’s fault. The Bills have a subpar line. Cody Ford may well be improving and Dion Dawkins and Daryl Williams performing averagely at tackle. However, they do need an upgrade. If it’s possible to land Joe Thuney or Brandon Scherff then the offensive will be unstoppable next year. The only issue on this front is that the Bills are forecast to be $6.4 million over the cap next year, although that is comparatively low to other teams.

Then we get to the defence. The unit is 15th in both point and yards allowed per game. This is a bit of a surprise given its strength over the last few years. This issue is down to the pass rush. A secondary including Tre’Davious White, Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer is naturally elite (and underrated) but Ed Oliver, Jerry Hughes and Vernon Butler have not been getting it done. The Bills hurry a QB on only 7.7% of snaps (27th in the league). This is not elite and is costing the Bills serious issues. Their offense is elite with a special teams of punter Corey Bojorquez and rookie kicker Tyler Bass, but their defense needs help (especially the D-Line), Jayson Oweh out of Penn State could be a very nice fit. They just need pressure and this team will be stacked for years to come. I have confidence Beane and McDermott know exactly what to do.

Miami Dolphins:

Brian Flores is one hell of a coach. No coach motivates his players more than the former Patriots defensive coordinator. The Dolphins sit at 10-5 after narrowly beating the Raiders and are the only team outside of the Bills without a losing record in the East divisions. Like the Bills, the Dolphins do need to add to the O-Line, Robert Hunt has been a surprise at tackle but Hunt and left Tackle Austin Jackson need time to mature. The inside of the O-Line is good enough but any improvement will help. The skill positions are deep, with DeVante Parker and Jakeem Grant at WR, tall and athletic TE Mike Gesicki and breakout stars Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed at RB. The last remaining question is a QB. Tua is good but not yet in the league of fellow rookies Burrow and Herbert. To add to this, Tua has had time to sit and learn from magic man himself, Ryan Fitzpatrick before taking over the starting job in week 8. There’s no doubt that Tua has been carried to wins by the strong defense and was even benched for Fitzpatrick to return and win the game against the Raiders. Fitzpatrick is a bad aid, despite being beloved and entertaining. The only consistent part of his play is his inconsistency. Tua does need to improve, but he has not made any major mistakes. If it wasn’t for the insanely fast starts from Mahomes, Watson, Burrows and Herbert over the last few year, Tua’s performance would be likely be praised. He throws the ball accurately and has been protecting himself (needed due to his injury history). Add that to his coach being Brian Flores and I do believe he’ll improve. The offense isn’t necessarily dynamic but with a defence like the one they currently have residing in Miami, it can easily be good enough to go far into January … and just maybe reach February in a year or twos time.

It makes sense for a Flores led team to be strong on defence. They play as passionately as he acts on the sideline. They play in the classic style of bend but do not break, only 24th in yards allowed but 3rd on points allowed. The leader of this defense is defensive player of the year candidate Xavien Howard who is partnered by Byron Jones at CB. A top 5 CB due in the league, they led the defense to intercepting Patrick Mahomes 3 times. A strong LB corps of former Patriots (Kyle Van Noy and Elandon Roberts) create havoc for opposing run games. The Doplhins are also getting to the QB, 40 sacks this season. This defense will be strong and well-run for years. It’s also worth noting the draft capital. Miami could potentially become the first team to ever make the playoffs and land a top 3 pick in the draft of that year. This is because they hold the Texans 1st round pick from the Laremy Tunsil trade. His should be used to get Tua the most help possible. CBS writer Josh Edwards has them landing the best WR prospect in years with Ja’Marr Chase. Expect interior O-Line with their latter pick. Wyatt Davis from Ohio State if he falls would be perfect. The Dolphins could well become the best AFC East team in 2-3 years which will leave them a Superbowl contender.

New England Patriots:

Some fall from grace the Patriots have had. From 20 years of dominance they fell back down to Earth. I expected them to do better – I envisioned a week 1-4 Cam Newton to continue, not the noodle-armed and panicked post-Covid Newton. This has led to an anaemic offense to say the least. However, winning 6 games with this roster shows two things. Firstly, Bill Belichick is the best to ever do it. Finding at replacements for all the free agency losses and the Covid opt-outs (most in the league). Scheming opponts and often showing his superiority as a coach (see win over Chargers). Secondly it shows the strength of the defense. JC Jackson is the largest pro-bowl snub in recent memory. He should be in the conversation for defensive player of the year and yet half the country don’t know he exists. Devin McCourty is one of the best safeties in the league. Chase Winovich is exploding and my personal pick for steal of the 2020 draft, Josh Uche, is already a polished edge rusher after only entering the line-up halfway through the season. They need an inside linebacker to partner Bentley after Hightower retires and they are desperate for a big run stopping nose tackle to take up space. Otherwise this defence is set. It’s also led by the greatest defensive mind in NFL history in Bill Belichick. Also, Jake Bailey (punter) is a weapon. Field position is important in the NFL (and undervalued) and Belichick has once again shown just how important special teams really are.

The outlook turns to the draft. With this comes the QB situation. Belichick wants a smart QB who’s not prone to turnovers. With this (and the fact that Wilson will be off the board by the time the Patriots are on the clock), I expect Belichick to select a QB from his old mate Nick Saban. Mac Jones has had an incredible season. Belichick has always liked Alabama prospects (Hightower, Jennings) so I fully expect this to happen. Losing Thuney will be a large blow to the O-Line but the rest is strong with Wynn, Andrews, Mason and “Big Mike” Onwenu. With their large cap space for the incoming year and the lack of opposing teams’ cap space (although, the Pats will likely use some of that money to resign current players) getting a WR will be top priority. Chris Godwin would be a ridiculously good get or Kenny Goliday if he somehow reaches free agency. Many people have written pieces about the Pats dynasty finally ending. Whilst, I doubt it will continue in the same vain as the Brady-Belichick era, Belichick is too good of a coach (and the surrounding coaching staff) to allow this team to miss the playoffs year after year. They will return and people are so desperate for the Patriots to finally fail, they are kidding themselves that this is the true end. The Pats will be back in a year or two.

New York Jets:

There’s no chance that the Jets can reach the Superbowl in the next 5 years right? WRONG. Let’s start at the receivers. Crowder is one of the best slot receivers in the league, Mims looks like a NO.1 in the making, currently playing like Marvin Jones in Detroit. The line is good. Becton is not just a physical freak but also a steal and will man the LT position for years to come. McGovern is an average centre and Greg Van Roten is a franchise right guard. They need a tight end and a running back but they are low priority needs for a franchise.

Move to the defense and the Jets are stacked for the future, yes, the Jets are going to be good and the average points scored in an all-AFC East matchup over the next few years might well be below 40. Williams and Shephard are powerful inside which is leading to a high pressure rate by the Jets (that may be down to recently fired defensive coordinator Greg Williams being blitz heavy). Fatukasi is a great run-stopping nose tackle. Bryce Hall is looking like a future starter at corner and safety Marcus Maye is ridiculously good and will cost less than traded star Jamal Adams. Think they’re light at LB? They get back CJ Mosely next year after he opted out this season. This team is good for the future; it may be 1-13 this year but hey will get better – quickly. There’s just 2 issues.

First: Is Sam Darnold going to become that promised franchise QB? I believe he needs a new start; he has talent but going to a team such as the Patriots of 49ers could be a perfect new start for him. I expect he’ll have a Ryan Tannehill-esque career. That means they can turn to the draft. They may have lost Trevor Lawrence due to beating the Rams and likely losing the NO.1 overall pick (not as bad as it seems) but this is a STACKED class. If they are not sold on Wilson or Fields and prefer Trask or Jones they can move back and gain picks to fix more holes, or they get their passer early. Remember Darnold will still have trade value as well.

Second: The coach. Adam Gase will be gone at seasons’ end; at least he better be or not firing him will be the worst decision in the history of the NFL. He is awful and holding this team back, way back. If they can get Eric Bieniemy or Brian Daboll (personal favourite) then this team will blossom. Both have unleashed a rookie QB on the league before (Mahomes and Allen respectively) and both are well-respected. It may take 2-3 years for the culture to change but we’ve already seen how quickly fortunes can change with a good coach entering a bad franchise in the AFC East – see Brian Flores and the Dolphins. The Jets aren’t as bad as everyone thinks, they might just be lifting a Lombardi in a few years.

NFC East

Washington Football Team:

In the space of a year, Washington has changed from a bottom-feeder no one likes to a plucky underdog everyone is (or should be) rooting for. Alex Smith has gone through hell to still be playing this sport and may well be starting in the playoffs after returning from that ridiculous injury. Ron Rivera has fought through cancer to change the culture of this team from one of losing to one of winning. With these two leading the team, it’s no wonder the players are playing so hard and tough against every single opponent. If they can retain Brandon Scherff, their O-Line is solid. They have found an absolute gem in 3rd round rookie RB Antonio Gibson and just need one more receiving weapon to partner Terry McLaurin and breakout TE Logan Thomas. They need to find a QB but luckily enough, this is the draft class for it. Plus, Jimmy G and Carson Wentz may be possible through trade and Dak Prescott potentially via free agency (and at a push a rejuvenated Mitch Trubisky? I know, I doubt he’ll keep it up as well). Then, partner that with a top 3 defense. The front 7 consists of Payne, Ioannidis, Allen, Kerrigan, Sweat and second overall pick Chase Young. That is just plain ridiculous. On the backend there’s Kendall Fuller, Landon Collins and surprise rookie Kameron Curl. If they can sign a WR in free agency and resign Brandon Scherff they are QB away from the Superbowl. That is not an exaggeration. They are playoff bound with a dink and dunk offense and only one year of River Boat Ron’s schemes. This is going to be a seriously good team if they can just find a QB.

New York Giants:

The final team that seems to be soon Superbowl bound is the Giants. Joe Judge (another former Patriots coach). Like the Patriots, Jets and Washington; the Giants are seemingly just a QB away. Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard are an undervalued one-two and if Evan Engram could consistently catch, he would be a top TE. They have a powerful O-Line which look to physically overpower their opponents – in line with Joe Judge’s philosophy. They will also get Saquon Barkley back from injury next year. Their defense has been steadily improving over the course of the season. Leonard Williams and Blake Martinez have had second lives with the Giants and Logan Ryan had earned his recent 3-year extension at DB. They could use that one great player, however. They need a Jamal Adams, Nick Bosa or Darius Leonard to put the fear into an offense rather than just be good. However, a QB is first and foremost on the list. Daniel Jones is NOT the answer, they swung and missed, otherwise this team has been built correctly. Despite all the negative reviews GM Dave Gettleman has received (including from myself) he has built one hell of a team. Joe Judge looks to be a great coach that has earnt respect from his players (look and learn Matt Patricia). This team will rival Washington for the next few years and be a Superbowl contender.

Conclusion: This in no way is meant as excluding the Chiefs nor Seahawks from future Superbowls, but a piece in support of two divisions that have been heavily criticised this year and in previous years for being weak. I see the Eagles as being consistently mediocre and the Cowboys needing a full rebuild due to cap issues (mainly caused by the Elliot deal). Other young teams are set to improve as well with the Chargers and Bengal leading the way but I see these divisions taking home the Lombardi in the next few years. Most of these teams is a QB away which is the hardest part of the roster to solve but with such a strong class incoming (and veterans potentially up for grabs) I believe most can solve that problem. Good luck to them, they will need it.

The 2020 Draft Class

As we reach the halfway point of the season, I believe it’s a good point to look back at the 2020 draft class. A class brimming with talent. They have had to deal with a lot (as we all have) and whilst that seems to have effected some – others have thrived. With that in mind, these are the 10 players that I believe have made the largest impact for their draft position this season – or players that will make an impact in the coming weeks. Some (one in particular) have proven me wrong whilst others have lived up to my expectations. This could be an all-time great class.

Joe Burrow QB (Pick 1 – CIN):

It makes sense to start with the first overall pick. The former LSU Tiger jumped up draft boards and into the lap of the Bengals over the 19/20 season due to his record setting year. Burrow is playing behind a bad O-Line – it is awful – it’s currently ranked 31st in pass protection (per Football Outsiders) and 25th in run power rankings.  The main issue is seen at the tackle spots, currently maned by Jonah Williams and Bobby Hart, whilst there is promise with Williams (former 11th overall selection – 2019), Hart is top priority to replace. However, Burrow has carried this team around these issues. He was sacked 8 times against the Eagles and 7 times against the Ravens, but he gets up and he throws and throws and carries this team. Using fellow rookie Tee Higgins and running back Joe Mixon (when healthy) to his advantage – Burrow has thrown for 2272yds through 8 games (282yds/game) behind one of the worst O-Lines in the league. He has led the team to 2 wins and a draw with the latest win beating a surprise beat down of the highly talented Tennessee Titans. He is living up to his NO.1 billing, but everyone needs to hope the Bengals don’t ruin him, we don’t want another David Carr or Andrew Luck.

Tua Tagovailoa QB (Pick 5 – MIA):

Tua made his first starting, replacing the magical Fitzpatrick, against the Rams. He passed for only 93yds and 1TD but that was enough to leave with a win. Tua looked shaky and not confident out of the field but he took care of the ball and let the Brian Flores masterclass on defence (he likes playing Sean McVay clearly – see Superbowl 53) takeover. Tua has promise, may worry for him on draft day was how injury prone he was in college but he didn’t take any unnecessary large hits and protected the football. He is a prospect to wait on right now.

Justin Herbert QB (Pick 6 – LAC):

I apologise to Herbert, I believe I gave him my lowest grade of 1st round picks. I did not like him at all and all he has done is balled out. Gone is his lack of anticipation, gone are his hospital passes, gone are his constant 50/50 balls down the sideline. Instead, most of the time, we are seeing a calm, consistent QB. Through 6 games he’s thrown 15TDs to only 5INTs – not bad for a rookie. He went toe to toe with Superbowl MVP Patrick Mahomes and then the GOAT himself Tom Brady, losing each by a single score. He has shown he belongs in this league but there is one issue. The Chargers are blowing leads, Herbert has played well but as the QB he needs to lead this team and come through in the clutch when necessary, this hasn’t happened so far, the losses haven’t been his fault but it’s still his responsibility to win. Having said that he is better already than I imagined he would ever be, and I hope he continues to prove me wrong.

Jedrick Wills T (Pick 10 – CLE):

Wills has slotted in nicely to this much improved Browns team. He has held his own against top pass rushers. He has made some mistakes but for a rookie to have faced the Ravens, Steelers and Washington’s D-Lines and only concede 3 sacks, best for 9th in the league (per Pro Football Focus), that’s not bad – in fact that’s pretty great. He does have an issue with false starts, conceded 5 already but that is a matter of experience, something he will gain. He is well on his way to becoming one of the top tackles in the game, his pass blocking and run blocking for the fearsome due of Hunt and Chubb (when healthy) is far in excess of the usual rookie.

Justin Jefferson WR (Pick 22 – MIN):

There are only two bright spots in all of Minnesota right now – Dalvin Cook and this rookie WR, Justin Jefferson. He exploded onto the scene against the Titans in week 3, securing 7rec for 175yds and a TD. He was drafted to replace Stephon Diggs, all he’s done is excelled beyond in just his rookie season. He has since backed this up with 2 further 100yd games against the Texans and then the Falcons (103yds and 166yds 2TDs respectively). Out of all the rookie WRs, it is Jefferson who has made the largest impact so far on any team. Sadly, the Vikings are struggling with a below par Kirk Cousins and an abnormally leaky Mike Zimmer defence, but if they draft as well on defence as they did with this selection, the Vikings will soon become a contender, Jefferson isn’t a rookie – he plays like a seasoned pro.

Patrick Queen LB (Pick 28 – BAL):

Queen is leading all rookie line backers in tackles right now with 48, 2nd in the entire rookie class (Jeremy Chinn S for the Panthers leads with 67 per ESPN). Queen took a while to warm up, and the week 3 matchup against Andy Reid’s Chiefs did expose him. But since then he has only improved. First against the Bengals when causing Joe Burrow to fumble before his game against the Steelers. Here he penetrated the line to make tackles for loss or at least within a yard or two of the line of scrimmage against the undefeated Steelers. He then made the critical stop on 3rd down to get the ball back to his offense one last time, he came flying round the right tackle to stuff the run before the 1st down marker. Queen is only improving and is the only rookie LB that looks pro ready – Isaiah Simmons has made the odd, nice play but is too inconsistent and that is shown by his lack of snaps.

Antoine Winfield Jr S (Pick 45 – TB):

Winfield has been maybe the most impressive rookie so far. He has had 2 sacks, recorded an INT and a forced fumble. That’s great pace for a rookie safety. He has played lights out so far, always being in the right place at the right time, whether to make a tackle of a pass deflection. This was displayed in last weeks matchup with the giants, disrupting the 2pt conversion which would had tied the game with 28 seconds left – effectively winning the game for the team (no, it was not pass interference – it was just perfect timing to a badly thrown ball). This guy is good, there must be something in that blood with his Father being Antoine Winfield Sr.

Josh Uche LB (Pick 60 – NE):

He may have only played one game but Uche was my draft steal and that one game showed why. During his 12 snaps he played both OLB and MLB (MLB once Bentley was injured) and registered a QB hit and tackled Josh Allen on a 3rd down attempt – pretty damn hard to do that. He also played on special teams so he’s clearly in Belichick’s good books. He is player to watch the rest of the season and indeed the next few.

Antonio Gibson RB (Pick 66 – Was):

Gibson was an intriguing player having played WR at Memphis before transitioning to RB just before the NFL draft. Whilst Gibson may have only topped 50 rushing yards twice and reach 100yds only once, he has still been impressive. Not only because he is behind a sometimes-makeshift Washington O-Line and part of an offense with no passing threat but because he consistently collects 3-4 receptions every game – more often than not for first downs. He has shown the ability to make defenders miss and also find the endzone – 4 times. He will only improve as the team around him does, and now Washington is lead by Riverboat Ron and has a top 5 defence (and maybe the best D-Line, fight it out with Pittsburgh), this teams on the up and Gibson is certainly a big part of it.

Michael Onwenu OL (Pick 163 – NE):

There’s something about the Patriots being able to draft O-Lineman. I thought for many years it may be Dante Scarnecchia but now he is retired, and the Pats keep doing it, that may not be the case. I label Onwenu as “OL” instead of any particular line position because at some point throughout the season so far he has played in 4 out of the 5 positions. He is a mauler, big and powerful at 370 pounds! His quality of play has been high to, he didn’t give up a single QB pressure against the Bills despite playing all 65 offensive snaps. He’s also a regular on special teams. Onwenu was a jewel of a 6th round pick – the Pats also seem to be good at drafting in the sixth round (a guy called Brady rings a bell) – maybe they should trade all draft picks and just buy out the sixth round every year?

Where I was Wrong on the 2020 NFL Season

Naturally before every season, I feel set up to try and predict what will happen during the year coming. However, after we have reached about a third of the way through the season, enough games have been played for everyone to have a vague idea of where this season is heading. At this stage, it is not clear which of my predictions are particularly right (they may look promising but not certain) but what I have got wrong seems more certain. This piece looks as what prediction I have got wrong, some happily, some disappointingly.

One quick note, I really hope that the Dolphins win over the lowly Jets isn’t the last time we see the great Ryan Fitzpatrick as a starter. The Dolphins (or rather Adam Schefter) announced that the rookie Tua Tagovailoa is starting. Fitzpatrick is endless fun to watch and had lead a below average Dolphins team to a 3-3 record. I hope he gets a starting job soon.

The Rams are “Good”

Whilst the loss to the division rival 49ers (still injury affected as well) did not look good. To add to this their loss against the Bills was going to be a blowout till an awful referee decision changed the momentum (Tyler Kroft catch that was ruled an interception). BUT they are 4-2 and Sean McVay has shown ways to enhance his offensive playbook, rushing around the rush now teams are using 6-man fronts to slow down the running game. Goff has returned to his 2018 form, even if that isn’t spectacular, it was enough to get him to the Superbowl that year. Donald isn’t alone on defence either, Johnson III has already amassed 46 tackles and fellow safety Taylor Rapp is making an impact everyday with big tackles. However, Donald is looking like defensive player of the year with 7.5 sacks and 8.5 tackles for loss. The Rams aren’t Superbowl challengers, but they ARE a Playoff team, certainly not the bottom dweller I predicted.

Poor Minnesota

I predicted a 10-6 season; they’ll be lucky to reverse that. Zimmer’s defence is a likely they worse he’s ever had. Dantzler has been picked upon and Gladney is only just starting to pick the game up at the NFL level. Ngakoue is the only consistent rusher on the team and Kendricks is having to tackle everyone because no one else seems to want to. Cousins looks more like a backup than a starter and the injury to Dalvin Cook has showed how valuable he really is. Justin Jefferson is the single light in this dark sky and 1-5, every game from here on out is must win. Expect a loss next game against the Packers as well.

The Arizona Defence Isn’t Working for Isaiah Simmons

Bubba Baker is doing his best, proving his 4-year $59 million deal to be the right choice but the Cardinals seem lacklustre – especially in the front 7. Simmons is not an NFL starting LB yet, he won’t win defensive player of the year. It seems the lack of training has hit him hard. That means the defence has had to rely on Haason Reddick, who is good but not great. However, he did record 2 sacks most recently so there is promise. A game against the Seahawks this Sunday will prove whether this unit is truly up to the challenge, they are 4-2 so there is promise, but those 4 wins don’t look so impressive right now.

The Steelers and Titans are the Teams to Challenge the Chiefs in the AFC

I would have picked the Ravens and Broncos (due to what looked like a fearsome offense, expected them to do what the Raiders did) as the teams to take up that mantle. The Steelers defence has continued to improve with JJ Watt becoming a true defensive player of the year candidate and Bud Dupree running everywhere at 100mph and hitting the ball carrier at every opportunity. Cam Heyward is moving O-Lineman every which way he wants, and Fitzpatrick reverted to his intercepting ways last match against the Browns. On the offensive side, Big Ben has returned in almost full form and Chase Claypool is a mismatch nightmare, very few corners are large enough and quick enough to cover him. The receiving core is deadly and whilst James Conner may not be super-fast, he is elusive. This is a very good team and Pittsburgh may well find themselves the only 7-time Superbowl champion come the end of the year.

Then there’s the Titans. They are led by a head coach in Vrabel, Brian Flores (Miami) and Vrabel himself seem the only Belichick disciples to be great coaches and coaches that could have a hall of fame career. Vrabel knows the team he has, power. Opening up holes for the big bulldozer of Derrick Henry to run through and stiff-arm opponents out of the stadium. He ran for 212yds and 2 TDs against the Texans, effectively single-handedly winning the game in OT. Then there’s Tannehill. Since escaping the clutches of Adam Gase, he has thrived. He is opening his play, utilizing the bigbodied of Corey Davis, breakout tight end Jonnu Smith and the most undervalued receiver in the league of AJ Brown. This offense is going to eat up time, entice the LBs and Safeties forward before hitting seam routes and streaks to Smith or Brown, using Davis in the red zone. However, the defence also must stop the random 90+ yard runs by Derrick Henry – good luck. I had the team at 8-8. They should end around 12-4. Tannehill hasn’t regressed and Henry looks as good as ever, this offense isn’t slowing down, they might well go one further than last year.